On the Central Eastside Industrial Council’s website, they claim crime has risen by 64% in the last year. But is this really so?
“…increases in unwanted crime and grime, including a 64% increase in crimes against people and property in the past year, have pervaded the district and threaten Central Eastside’s emerging reputation and business viability. To shape Central Eastside’s future and ensure its economic prosperity, we must take advantage of new tools to clean, beautify, promote and secure our district.” – ceic.cc/eastworks
Dr. Katy McKinney-Bock, Co-Founder of N2N Data and Policy Collective, analyzed the same Portland Police Bureau (PPB) data to evaluate their claims and came to a very different conclusion:
“Our findings dispute the CEIC’s claim of a 64% increase in crime. Looking from 2015-2018 there is no significant upward trend in crime reports, and a comparison of all data available in 2017 and 2018 (January-October) shows only a 5.7% increase in crime reports, which is negligible given the variance present in the data. Our time series model predicts that there will be no significant increase over the next year either.”
Read the full analysis here.